Brett Winton: 我们相信，到 2030 年，训练神经网络的成本将每年下降 2.5 倍。而且我们预计预算将继续膨胀，至少到 2025 年每年翻一番。将两者结合起来：到 2025 年，神经网络能力应增加约 5,000 倍

Posted on 2022-08-12

原推：We believe the cost to train a neural net will fall 2.5x per year through 2030.

AND we expect budgets to continue to balloon, doubling annually at least through 2025.

Combine the two:

Neural net capability should increase by ~5,000x by 2025