Skip to content

搞英语 → 看世界

翻译英文优质信息和名人推特

Menu
  • 首页
  • 作者列表
  • 独立博客
  • 专业媒体
  • 名人推特
  • 邮件列表
  • 关于本站
Menu

Brett Winton: 很难概念化约 5,000 倍的能力提升(我们对神经网络的约 2025 年预期。) 为了让您感觉*与 2007 年的原版* 相比,今年的 iPhone 可能会在 ~200 倍(基于 CPU)和 ~3,000 倍(基于 GPU)之间更高性能 https://t.co/sr3VD9EtFY 引用@wintonARK 的推文: 我们相信,到 2030 年,训练神经网络的成本将每年下降 2.5 倍。 我们预计预算将继续膨胀,至少到 2025 年每年翻一番。 将两者结合起来: 到 2025 年,神经网络能力应增加约 5,000 倍 https://t.co/oE1JTSdkd7

Posted on 2022-08-13

原推:Very hard to conceptualize a ~5,000x capability improvement (our ~2025 expectation for neural nets.)

To give you a sense *compared to the 2007 original* this year’s iPhone will likely be between ~200x (on a CPU basis) and ~3,000x (on a GPU basis) more performant https://t.co/sr3VD9EtFY

Quoted tweet from @wintonARK:

We believe the cost to train a neural net will fall 2.5x per year through 2030.

AND we expect budgets to continue to balloon, doubling annually at least through 2025.

Combine the two:

Neural net capability should increase by ~5,000x by 2025 https://t.co/oE1JTSdkd7

https://twitter.com/wintonARK/status/1558203153677357056

本站文章系自动翻译,站长会周期检查,如果有不当内容,请点此留言,非常感谢。
  • Abhinav
  • Abigail Pain
  • Adam Fortuna
  • Alberto Gallego
  • Alex Wlchan
  • Answer.AI
  • Arne Bahlo
  • Ben Carlson
  • Ben Kuhn
  • Bert Hubert
  • Bits about Money
  • Brian Krebs
  • ByteByteGo
  • Chip Huyen
  • Chips and Cheese
  • Christopher Butler
  • Colin Percival
  • Cool Infographics
  • Dan Sinker
  • David Walsh
  • Dmitry Dolzhenko
  • Dustin Curtis
  • eighty twenty
  • Elad Gil
  • Ellie Huxtable
  • Ethan Dalool
  • Ethan Marcotte
  • Exponential View
  • FAIL Blog
  • Founder Weekly
  • Geoffrey Huntley
  • Geoffrey Litt
  • Greg Mankiw
  • Henrique Dias
  • Hypercritical
  • IEEE Spectrum
  • Investment Talk
  • Jaz
  • Jeff Geerling
  • Jonas Hietala
  • Josh Comeau
  • Lenny Rachitsky
  • Liz Danzico
  • Lou Plummer
  • Luke Wroblewski
  • Matt Baer
  • Matt Stoller
  • Matthias Endler
  • Mert Bulan
  • Mind Matters
  • Mostly metrics
  • Naval Ravikant
  • News Letter
  • NextDraft
  • Non_Interactive
  • Not Boring
  • One Useful Thing
  • Phil Eaton
  • Product Market Fit
  • Readwise
  • ReedyBear
  • Robert Heaton
  • Rohit Patel
  • Ruben Schade
  • Sage Economics
  • Sam Altman
  • Sam Rose
  • selfh.st
  • Shtetl-Optimized
  • Simon schreibt
  • Slashdot
  • Small Good Things
  • Steve Blank
  • Taylor Troesh
  • Telegram Blog
  • The Macro Compass
  • The Pomp Letter
  • thesephist
  • Thinking Deep & Wide
  • Tim Kellogg
  • Understanding AI
  • Wes Kao
  • 英文媒体
  • 英文推特
  • 英文独立博客
©2025 搞英语 → 看世界 | Design: Newspaperly WordPress Theme