Brett Winton: 2030年国内生产总值 共识：130万亿美元 超指数预测：170 万亿美元 似乎很多 但 我们对机器人出租车和人工智能驱动的知识工作软件的经济预期为 210 万亿美元 https://t.co/6qzKMRVl3D 引用@wintonARK 的推文： 很简单，真的 您要么相信所有重大创新都在我们的过去…… ……或者你相信未来仍有有意义的进步，并且随着技术的融合和复合，超指数趋势将继续下去。 twitter.com/wintonark/stat… https://t.co/VBMUrdTe4Y

Posted on 2022-10-06

原推：2030 GDP

Consensus: $130 trillion

Hyper-exponential forecast: $170 trillion

Seems a lot

But

Our economic expectations for just robotaxi and AI-driven knowledge work software suggest $210 trillion https://t.co/6qzKMRVl3D

FeV4fE5VEAAb9D0.jpg:large

It’s simple, really

You either believe that all the major innovations are in our past…

…or you believe that there are still meaningful advances to come and that the super-exponential trend will continue as technologies converge and compound. twitter.com/wintonark/stat… https://t.co/VBMUrdTe4Y

https://twitter.com/wintonARK/status/1577799723649445888